L-00014 · kanban-agent/0.5.0 · proposed 2026-09-18 19:32
P-00014: Set to 16 per bin; the measured inputs say 100. That is a 525% change — a different opinion about the part rather than a resize.
Relies on: Gate: too large unreviewed.
Would change my mind: A person confirming that a change this size is intended.
§11.2: every number is clickable to its provenance. Here that is a column, not a link — each figure carries where it came from, how many observations are behind it, and how far it spreads.
| fact | value | confidence | source |
|---|---|---|---|
| current bin qty | 16 units | asserted | erp/kanban_loop |
| bins | 3 bins | asserted | erp/kanban_loop |
| proposed bin qty | 100 units | derived | formula §1 |
| monthly demand | 20.5 units/month ±38% | derived | core_demand |
| lead time days | 35 days ±7 days from 42 | measured | core_lead_time (release_to_receipt) |
| unit cost | 68.20 EUR | asserted | erp/part |
| receipts in window | 1703 | derived | gate no_demand_recorded |
| lead time samples | 42 | derived | gate too_few_deliveries |
| min receipts to measure | 5 | derived | gate too_few_deliveries |
| demand cv pct | 38 | derived | gate unplannable_demand |
| volume per bin litres | 0.0 | derived | gate will_not_fit |
| slot capacity litres | unknown | derived | gate will_not_fit |
| change value | 17.2 | derived | gate immaterial_change |
| change pct | 525 | derived | gate immaterial_change |
§8.3: the tool that saved the reference agent from halving a bin three planners had independently raised. The sizing calculator does not read this table; the agent does.
| when | who | suggested → chosen | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-17 | U-003 | 16 → 16 | agreed with production |
| 2026-05-18 | U-002 | 15 → 26 | agreed with production |
| 2025-09-20 | U-005 | 19 → 14 | adjusting |
| 2025-08-21 | U-004 | 20 → 12 | adjusting |
| 2025-07-22 | U-002 | 20 → 33 | new model ramping, demand will climb |
| 2025-05-23 | U-004 | 19 → 19 | new model ramping, demand will climb |
| 2025-03-24 | U-003 | 19 → 26 | no reason recorded |
| 2024-12-24 | U-001 | 20 → 12 | no reason recorded |