L-00206 · kanban-agent/0.5.0 · proposed 2026-09-18 19:32
P-00206: Set to 57 per bin; the measured inputs say 104. That is a 82% change — a different opinion about the part rather than a resize.
Relies on: Gate: too large unreviewed.
Would change my mind: A person confirming that a change this size is intended.
§11.2: every number is clickable to its provenance. Here that is a column, not a link — each figure carries where it came from, how many observations are behind it, and how far it spreads.
| fact | value | confidence | source |
|---|---|---|---|
| current bin qty | 57 units | asserted | erp/kanban_loop |
| bins | 3 bins | asserted | erp/kanban_loop |
| proposed bin qty | 104 units | derived | formula §1 |
| monthly demand | 27.7 units/month ±53% | derived | core_demand |
| lead time days | 157 days ±10 days from 7 | measured | core_lead_time (release_to_receipt) |
| unit cost | 184.22 EUR | asserted | erp/part |
| receipts in window | 310 | derived | gate no_demand_recorded |
| lead time samples | 7 | derived | gate too_few_deliveries |
| min receipts to measure | 5 | derived | gate too_few_deliveries |
| demand cv pct | 53 | derived | gate unplannable_demand |
| volume per bin litres | 29.2 | derived | gate will_not_fit |
| slot capacity litres | 51.6 | derived | gate will_not_fit |
| change value | 26.0 | derived | gate immaterial_change |
| change pct | 82 | derived | gate immaterial_change |
§8.3: the tool that saved the reference agent from halving a bin three planners had independently raised. The sizing calculator does not read this table; the agent does.
| when | who | suggested → chosen | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | U-002 | 20 → 57 | no reason recorded |
| 2026-08-16 | U-006 | 21 → 21 | no reason recorded |
| 2026-05-18 | U-006 | 27 → 53 | adjusting |
| 2025-12-19 | U-006 | 17 → 90 | takes 4 months to replace, sizing up |
| 2025-10-20 | U-006 | 17 → 29 | no reason recorded |
| 2025-02-22 | U-001 | 23 → 48 | no reason recorded |
| 2025-01-23 | U-005 | 24 → 76 | no reason recorded |
| 2024-12-24 | U-003 | 19 → 55 | adjusting |